Saturday, May 7, 2011

Alien vs Predictor

I've cast my vote and as my vote is secret, suffice to say I've been very obedient. The entire week of rallies mounts up to this day. With all the results to be announced. With that I would want to state down my predictions.

Well I would expect that PAP would still retain a vast majority of the seats but their mandate won't be as strong as 2006. There would definitely be a drop of their overall votes. Previously it was 66.6%. I'm predicting that it would fall to around 60% give and take 2%, mostly give I'd say.

I'm also going to say the following parts would probably be won by the Alternative Parties:

1) Aljunied GRC (WP)
2) Tampines GRC (NSP)
3) Bishan/Toa Payoh GRC (SPP)
4) Hougang SMC (WP: Yaw Shin Leong)
5) Potong Pasir SMC (SPP: Lina Chiam)
6) Mountbatten SMC (NSP: Jeannette Chong)
Black horse predictions:
GRCs: East Coast GRC (WP) and Holland Village/Bukit Timah GRC (SDP)
SMCs: Pioneer SMC (NSP: Steve Chia), Joo Chiat SMC (WP: Yee Jenn Jong)

There are a few PAP minister who I wish would not return to parliament namely Lui Tuck Yew, Vivian Balakrishnan, Gan Kim Yong, Wong Kan Seng, Charles Chong and most importantly Mah Bow Tan. They don't come up with great ideas and seems to me as though they're around only to infuriate Singaporeans. I seriously hope that the Tampines residents can see enough sense to vote MBT out. I can't fathom a reason not to. He is a serious waste of taxpayer's money. For a loser who snuck through the GRC back door not to be ejected, you guys seriously have to repent if he still wins.

I'm thinking Worker's Party would be able to push through due to the overwhelming support. If their rally support converts to votes, I don't see them losing. Perhaps they might even win some of the unmentioned GRCs. For Aljunied, though George Yeo is a fine person but I think his time in Aljunied is up. Especially with that report about the police case resurfacing so close to polling day. Definitely a dent to their hopes. The SMS from the PAP support group and that last minute leaflet further depict a desperate attempt at salvaging some lost hope.

Chiam See Tong has been a passionate and selfless leader all the while and with Wong Kan Seng and Mas Selamat's escape still tied together, I'm inclined to hope that Mr Chiam claims the GRC since even the SM threw Wong Kan Seng under the bus in defense of George Yeo. Sitoh has been in situ for the past 5 years and I can still see Chiam's loyal supporters voting keep SPP in Potong Pasir.

On the NSP side, it would be impossible to topple Goh Cheok Tong's stronghold despite the Nicole phenomenon but I can picture Jeannette Chong taking Mountbatten. Steve Chia might sneak one against the PAP at Pioneer. I'm expecting them to win Tampines by default.

Last but not least, with Vivian' low blow and budget blow, I won't be suprised if people have had enough of him and decides to let him enjoy his 3 meals a day in a hawker centre, foodcourt or restaurant as a CIVILIAN.

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